Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.007099 0.007961 0.008900 0.010004 0.011267 0.012673 0.014358
2025-02-23 0.005620 0.006764 0.008118 0.009850 0.012018 0.014664 0.018166
2025-03-02 0.004910 0.006193 0.007795 0.009964 0.012856 0.016622 0.021972
2025-03-09 0.004337 0.005674 0.007418 0.009889 0.013354 0.018116 0.025295
2025-03-16 0.003786 0.005103 0.006879 0.009494 0.013316 0.018814 0.027530
2025-03-23 0.003453 0.004780 0.006630 0.009449 0.013734 0.020166 0.030868
2025-03-30 0.003309 0.004703 0.006706 0.009867 0.014863 0.022690 0.036372
2025-04-06 0.002996 0.004348 0.006338 0.009567 0.014833 0.023376 0.038927
2025-04-13 0.002736 0.004046 0.006020 0.009304 0.014819 0.024065 0.041556
2025-04-20 0.002564 0.003863 0.005864 0.009280 0.015185 0.025421 0.045558
2025-04-27 0.002481 0.003812 0.005910 0.009586 0.016141 0.027910 0.052059
2025-05-04 0.002340 0.003655 0.005769 0.009559 0.016499 0.029348 0.056710
2025-05-11 0.002229 0.003543 0.005704 0.009675 0.017165 0.031514 0.063371
2025-05-18 0.002082 0.003362 0.005508 0.009541 0.017353 0.032793 0.068410
2025-05-25 0.001989 0.003266 0.005450 0.009651 0.018018 0.035109 0.076188
2025-06-01 0.001878 0.003128 0.005304 0.009578 0.018309 0.036679 0.082518
2025-06-08 0.001731 0.002917 0.005012 0.009197 0.017922 0.036737 0.085163
2025-06-15 0.001644 0.002809 0.004898 0.009154 0.018238 0.038388 0.092166
2025-06-22 0.001624 0.002818 0.005003 0.009557 0.019559 0.042524 0.106604
2025-06-29 0.001517 0.002661 0.004780 0.009268 0.019313 0.042922 0.110837
2025-07-06 0.001423 0.002522 0.004583 0.009015 0.019121 0.043427 0.115487
2025-07-13 0.001363 0.002442 0.004498 0.008991 0.019458 0.045298 0.124612
2025-07-20 0.001342 0.002437 0.004557 0.009286 0.020585 0.049370 0.141517